In a matter of a few days, different
information sources arrived to me, which when combined, made emerge a series of
reflections and questioning.
The first of them was the book of Mike
Berners-Lee and Duncan Clark “The burning question”, a clever word game, is not
only about burning fossil fuels, but also a question that must be answered
rapidly. The authors tells us that we know beyond any doubt that the raising of
CO2 concentration in Earth’s atmosphere is directly correlated to
the raising mean temperature of the planet.
We know too that the exponential growth of such
concentration in the last years has predominately an anthropogenic origin, a fact
recently supported by the IPCC report (International Panel for Climate Change),
where hundreds of scientist, the best and most respected from around the globe,
reported that the raise in temperature is unequivocal (Fig. 1), and that
reductions in greenhouse gases must be done in a substantial and sustained
fashion.
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Fig.
1. Relation of mean global temperature and CO2 concentration.
(Source:
National Climatic Data Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration,
USA)
Therefore Berners-Lee and Clark question us: stopping
climate change means persuading the World to unquestioningly abandon fossil
fuels, proven reserves with a market value of trillions of dollars: could we do
this? In political, psychological, economic and technological terms, what do we
need to do? Can we do these changes on time? Who can do which part in order to make all
this happen?
Fig.
2. Past, present and future of fossil fuels extraction
(Source:
the author with data from World Bank, International Energy Agency and others)
Figure 2 shows the past and future (according to proven reserves) of fossil fuel extraction, there are many different charts like this one, the main difference is when the peak take place, some say we already past it, some that is still to come, no far away, but not yet there. The issue is that if burning the amount before the peak took us where we are today, the answer is pretty simple:
We cannot burn all the fossil fuels we still have.
We cannot burn all the fossil fuels we still have.
A few days ago I had the chance to see one
presentation by the extraordinary Dr. Hans Rosling, this time in a BBC production.
With his characteristic simplicity and powerful data visualisation, he showed
that human CO2 emissions are evidently related to economic power, but
how big the difference is between rich and poor people?
The first thing Rosling did was organising the World
population according to income, from those who earn $100 dollars or more per
day, to the ones with $1 dollar or less, which defines the extreme poverty
line, and today they are almost two billion people (Fig. 3). The distribution
is more or less like this: the richest billion emit 50% of World CO2,
the next billion 25%, the next one 12%, and so on. Yes, is an approximation,
but does not demerit the argument.
Fig.
3. Income distribution and CO2 contribution
(Source:
the author based on Rosling’s visualisation in BBC1 “Don’t panic”)
Be aware that the two richest billions are us, the
ones reading this document, us that have a car, wash our clothes in a washer
machine, us that have electricity at home, gas in our stoves, television,
Internet, mobile phone, etc.
This means that the World today has almost two
billion people desperately trying to get out of extreme poverty, and that an
increase of their CO2 emissions, even a 100% increase or more, would
be insignificant in comparison to what the richest three billion emit, but it could
represent an extraordinary raise in their living standards, without considering that we can do this with better/cleaner technologies if we want to.
Us, the richest billion emit very much, yes,
and we must reduce it dramatically, not only in quantity but also rapidly. It is
a very urgent problem, and other equally urgent issue are the two following
billions, which economically are growing very rapidly and they want (and have
all the right to) live with the same comfort and opportunities that we have.
Finally us –designers- what are we doing?
A few years ago the initiative “design for the other 90%” was brought up. Someone not so long ago, realised that the majority
of designers worked for the richest 10% of the population, and that not only in
ethic terms, but in economic ones too, we are ignoring that “other” 90%. A true
avalanche of “human” methods, “social entrepreneurship”, “open platforms”,
etcetera, has been produced; which, not without some controversies, have
created conscience and are changing many things.
This is excellent, it must be done, and in
increasing numbers, acknowledging errors and learning from them, not only as a
moral duty, but also for the economic opportunity that means for everybody.
This does not imply take villainously advantage from the
poorest, it means realising that without an economic benefit, even if very
small, it will be very hard to see the change in magnitude and speed on which
it needs to happen.
On a different thinking, if we must design for
the other 90%, we have to REDESIGN the other 10%. As I showed previously the
real danger in climate change terms does not lie in the poorest 3 or 4 billions.
The way on which the 3 richest billions live, consume, use and discard must change
dramatically, and for reasons that are evident, this latter is much more
complex than the former, and I would even dare to say it is more urgent, specially because of the incomprehensible denial we can see in this group, even with the high education standards they have, even with undebatable evidence in front of them.
Definitely designers won’t save the World, as
some have lately preach, we must lower our ego and accept it. We can contribute
greatly, but the questions should simply be: which part of all this is ours?
Where to begin? What do we need to do it?
The good news is that there are many people
working on this, designers and hundreds of other professions, with great ideas
and giving it all to make a difference, but is not enough, no even remotely
enough. It is impressive to see how still today, talking about sustainable
design, for many people means crazy neo-hippies, tree huggers trying to save
the World, and not what it should be: a logic base for fair and egalitarian
progress and development.
I came across a beautiful term: “nomological”,
from the Greek, like many other beautiful words. It relates
to or express basic physical laws or rules of reasoning, things like gravity, which we take for
granted and we don’t expect it to be turned off any time soon. There are
certain sustainability principles, which I argue are nomological constrains,
but we haven’t yet realised fully, I have touched this theme before in other documents, still a lot to research and process.
I will close with the last source of
information I was referring to above; it is the speech Noam Chomsky gave at the
North Carolina University on September 30th 2010. I recommend you
read it fully, but for now I simply allow myself to quote the last paragraph:
“…the only potential counterweight to all of
this is some very substantial popular movement which is not just going to call
for putting solar panels on your roof, though it’s a good thing to do, but it’s
going to have to dismantle an entire sociological, cultural, economic, and
ideological structure which is just driving us to disaster. It’s not a small
task, but it’s a task that had better be undertaken, and probably pretty
quickly, or it’s going to be too late”
Do you want a real design challenge? There you
have it, and it is not about designing lamps or chairs with waste. A key part
lies in accepting our limits as professionals, and like Chomsky says, create a
substantial popular movement which pushes constantly, and among all disciplines
questioning the deepest roots of our structures, starting with the economic one,
as well as our personal assumptions.
Where to
start?
I’ll share
with you some ideas and resources in future articles.